Friday, 24 February 2012

Whatever happened to Personal Finance?

No doubt, personal finance had seen a major dip in 2011. When you analyse the performance of chief areas of personal finance namely, mortgage, car finance and credit cards, a glaring trend pops up. Consumers are shunning mortgage and car finance and banking on credit cards. Instead of accumulating assets consumers have jacked up credit card expenses. Whatever happened…..?

There is an adage; when the going gets tough, the tough gets going. As we see a big reverse in personal finance in 2011 consumers instead of being tough on pruning expenses have gone soft on expense loading. Spending via credit cards has notched up in many countries. Britain experienced a staggering 35 % growth in credit card outstanding compared to the previous year. Conversely the number of people using credit cards rose marginally by about a percentage and clocked at 12 Million. In America the outstanding skyrocketed to U S $ 65 billion, a hefty US $ 20 Billion more than the figure for 2010. There again the number of users remained almost stagnant.

In comparison, mortgage finance pales into insignificance. Britain experienced a chipping away of almost 10 Billion sterling worth of Mortgage debt in 2011 bringing to the mind of 1970s when economy was in the dog house. Reduction in activity in the home market coupled with a significant reduction in re-mortgaging were the chief cause for this trend. More potential home borrowers kept away from availing finance even though banks were ready and willing to grant them finance. In fact mortgage loan approvals topped Sterling 8 Billion but much less were actually drawn down. Most lenders reported that borrowers were keen in paying existing finance at quicker pace to bring down the interest cost. They agree that the loans that exist now are booked when interest rate regime was in higher integrals.

Same story was repeated in the car finance scene too. Car sales were down 4.4 % in Britain in 2011. The number of cars sold was 1.94 Million lowest since 1994. Sales were mainly in the medium market models lending credence to the figure of 96,112 of Ford Fiesta sold. In contrast high market BMW 3 Series clutched at 42471 cars. In line with this, loans for acquiring new cars also plummeted. No major banks came out with any innovative car finance scheme in 2011. Reading from what is happening in the personal finance you cannot help but come to the conclusion that consumers are smart borrowers. Here is the sketch of their mind-sets as painted in my canvas:

1. Short-terming: Consumers have resorted to fire fighting; that is to play in the short term market rather than dabble in long term market

2. Asset as burden: They are not keen to garner assets like home and car investment that could easily become a weighty burden. Whereas blipping up expense is a manageable one. This blending of financial alchemy displays shrewd reading of the economy on the part of the borrowers

3. Lowering interest cost: Borrowers are going one over other to pay down high-interest home loans

4. Budgeting well: Consumers show remarkable ability in using interest free credit period offered by credit card companies and liquidate outstanding in time

5. Cosmics have landed: Borrowers are driven by their cosmics to play safe without getting into too many financial commitments which if goes un-checked would, potentially lead to long term instability in mental peace and financial balance. Keeping cosmic balance dictates that they go on rope walking this time around and wait for things to improve in 2012.

Muthu Ashraff

Business Adviser

Mobile : +94 777 265677

E-mail : cosmicgems@gmail.com

Web : http://www.cosmicgemslanka.com

Blog : http://cosmicgemslanka.com/blog/

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